Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 4.579835 4.965107 5.381650 5.867912 6.423112 7.041032 7.786082
2025-03-16 3.929339 4.453508 5.060528 5.825168 6.776956 7.942819 9.512034
2025-03-23 3.619324 4.229597 4.971297 5.959204 7.273350 9.013343 11.589680
2025-03-30 3.278636 3.910271 4.703374 5.801575 7.334070 9.485389 12.921018
2025-04-06 3.009390 3.646531 4.467348 5.640018 7.342490 9.854907 14.147629
2025-04-13 2.789335 3.423876 4.258789 5.483240 7.322161 10.158109 15.313209
2025-04-20 2.637475 3.277552 4.136972 5.429942 7.438333 10.678144 16.967835
2025-04-27 2.563206 3.228622 4.142332 5.557076 7.841594 11.728770 19.916711
2025-05-04 2.503614 3.194036 4.162522 5.704398 8.291797 12.941241 23.633898
2025-05-11 2.407510 3.100750 4.088880 5.695743 8.474017 13.689380 26.602422
2025-05-18 2.329115 3.027464 4.038497 5.717321 8.708386 14.581563 30.328244
2025-05-25 2.206380 2.882904 3.871066 5.531762 8.542772 14.615819 31.721687
2025-06-01 2.102734 2.767626 3.751012 5.432173 8.558070 15.116009 35.029410
2025-06-08 2.020302 2.680791 3.671385 5.397862 8.702143 15.962873 40.157825
2025-06-15 1.978741 2.652437 3.680741 5.517620 9.167951 17.704030 50.215097
2025-06-22 1.886861 2.542216 3.551443 5.377079 9.076703 18.020679 54.777286
2025-06-29 1.801522 2.438048 3.425910 5.232799 8.958686 18.241863 59.242721
2025-07-06 1.723348 2.341549 3.307671 5.092568 8.831982 18.413226 63.787654
2025-07-13 1.668283 2.278757 3.241711 5.044846 8.904840 19.186130 73.090458
2025-07-20 1.646465 2.267130 3.260157 5.158638 9.362697 21.285077 96.031349
2025-07-27 1.628670 2.260806 3.286778 5.290322 9.886480 23.837174 132.598384
2025-08-03 1.588596 2.216648 3.245465 5.282590 10.066631 25.281121 165.574845
2025-08-10 1.555232 2.181954 3.218654 5.301864 10.319474 27.125458 217.991730